2021 Canadian federal election

The 2021 Canadian federal election took place on September 20, 2021 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 44th Parliament of Canada.

2021 Canadian federal election

September 20, 2021 (2021-09-20)
338 seats in the House of Commons 170 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
First party Second party Third party   Leader Justin Trudeau Erin O'Toole Yves-François Blanchet Party Liberal Conservative Bloc Québécois Leader since April 14, 2013 August 24, 2020 January 17, 2019 Leader's seat Papineau Durham Beloeil—Chambly Last election 157 seats, 33.12% 121 seats, 34.34% 32 seats, 7.63% Seats before 155 119 32 Seats won 160 119 32 Seat change 5 Popular vote 5,556,629 5,747,410 1,301,615 Percentage 32.62% 33.74% 7.64%   Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party   Leader Jagmeet Singh Annamie Paul Maxime Bernier Party New Democratic Green People's Leader since October 1, 2017 October 3, 2020 September 14, 2018 Leader's seat Burnaby South Ran in Toronto Centre (defeated) Ran in Beauce (lost) Last election 24 seats, 15.98% 3 seats, 6.55% 0 seats, 1.62% Seats before 24 2 0 Seats won 25 2 0 Seat change 1 Popular vote 3,036,348 396,988 840,993 Percentage 17.82% 2.33% 4.94%
Map showing seats won by each party, shaded by margin
Prime Minister before election Justin Trudeau Liberal Prime Minister after election Justin Trudeau Liberal

The latest date of the vote was scheduled for October 16, 2023, which is determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, which requires federal elections to be held on the third Monday in October in the fourth calendar year after the polling day of the previous election.

However, on August 15, 2021, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau requested a dissolution of parliament from Governor General Mary Simon. On September 20, Trudeau and the Liberal Party was projected to have won 155 seats, allowing them to form a minority government.

Opinion polling

Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 44th Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	CPC	LPC	NDP	BQ	GPC	PPC	Other	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling method	Lead
Forum Research	August 15, 2021	PDF Archived 2021-08-16 at the Wayback Machine	31	28	19	7	8	5	3	±3 pp	1,203	IVR	3
Mainstreet Research	August 15, 2021	Twitter	30.1	33.1	19.1	5.9	3.9	5.6	2.2	N/A	1,331	IVR	3.0

Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on who would make the best Prime Minister:

October 2020 – present

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Justin Trudeau	Erin O'Toole	Jagmeet Singh	Yves-François Blanchet	Annamie Paul	Maxime Bernier	Unsure	Margin of error	Lead
Nanos Research	May 14, 2021	PDF	36.3	20.8	12.6	5.2	5.3	5.2	14.6	±3.1 pp	15.5
Innovative Research	May 5, 2021	HTML	44	20	23	2	4	6		N/A	21
Ipsos	April 9, 2021	HTML Archived 2021-04-16 at the Wayback Machine	42	25	17	8	7	N/A		±3.5 pp	17
Nanos Research	April 2, 2021	PDF	40.1	18.9	13.2	2.3	4.1	2.9	18.5	±3.1 pp	21.2
Nanos Research	March 26, 2021	PDF	38.9	19.3	13.7	2.2	4.7	3.2	18.0	±3.1 pp	19.6
Research Co.	March 15, 2021	PDF	40	15	12	3	2	2	25	±3.1 pp	25
Nanos Research	March 12, 2021	PDF	36.7	22.0	14.4	3.7	5.6	3.4	14.2	±3.1 pp	14.7
Nanos Research	February 26, 2021	PDF	34.0	24.5	15.2	4.2	4.6	4.1	14.2	±3.1 pp	9.5
Nanos Research	February 5, 2021	PDF	38.1	24.7	13.5	5.4	4.6	4.1	9.6	±3.1 pp	13.4
Nanos Research	January 15, 2021	PDF	38.5	23.9	13.3	4.6	4.2	3.2	12.3	±3.1 pp	14.6
Nanos Research	January 1, 2021	PDF	39.3	20.3	13.1	3.2	3.9	2.4	17.7	±3.1 pp	19.0
Nanos Research	December 18, 2020	PDF Archived 2021-01-13 at the Wayback Machine	38.2	21.1	13.2	3.6	2.2	2.2	19.6	±3.1 pp	17.1
Research Co.	December 14, 2020	PDF	39	22	13	3	2	2		±3.1 pp	17
Nanos Research	December 11, 2020	PDF Archived 2021-01-14 at the Wayback Machine	37.5	19.7	13.5	3.9	3.2	2.3	19.9	±3.1 pp	17.8
Nanos Research	November 20, 2020	PDF Archived 2021-01-14 at the Wayback Machine	38.5	20.3	14.5	3.4	1.8	2.0	19.5	±3.1 pp	18.2
Nanos Research	October 30, 2020	PDF	39.0	20.1	12.7	2.8	2.5	1.9	21.0	±3.1 pp	18.9
Nanos Research	October 23, 2020	PDF	37.7	21.6	12.6	2.9	2.7	2.1	20.5	±3.1 pp	16.1
Nanos Research	October 16, 2020	PDF Archived 2020-10-27 at the Wayback Machine	38.5	23.0	11.1	1.9	2.9	2.5	20.1	±3.1 pp	15.0
Nanos Research	October 9, 2020	PDF	37.1	22.5	11.6	2.8	4.0	2.1	19.7	±3.1 pp	14.6

August 2020 – October 2020

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Justin Trudeau	Erin O'Toole	Jagmeet Singh	Yves-François Blanchet	Elizabeth May	Maxime Bernier	Unsure	Margin of error	Lead
Nanos Research	September 25, 2020	PDF	35.6	22.8	13.2	3.1	3.3	2.1	19.9	±3.1 pp	12.8
Nanos Research	September 4, 2020	PDF	34.4	20.2	15.2	4.2	4.0	1.5	20.5	±3.1 pp	14.2

2021 Canadian Federal Election Media

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  Canada Election 2021 Results Map Gains

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  Canada 2021 Federal Election

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  A polling station on election day

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  Election signs on the street in Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie

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  Pie chart of popular vote and seat counts

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  2021 House of Commons of Canada election