Next United Kingdom general election

The Next United Kingdom general election must be held no later than Tuesday 28 January 2025, after the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022 repealed the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011.

Next United Kingdom general election
United Kingdom
← 2019 No later than 28 January 2025

All 650 seats[a] in the House of Commons
326 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
Conservative
Labour
SNP
Liberal Democrats
DUP
Sinn Féin
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Alba
SDLP
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Alliance
Independent
Speaker
Incumbent Prime Minister
Rishi Sunak
Conservative

Polling data

Pollster Client Dates

conducted

Area Sample

size

Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
Opinium The Observer 11 - 12 Feb UK 2,006 42% 37% 6% 5% 5% 5%
YouGov The Times 9-10 Feb GB 1,660 41% 36% 6% 5% 7% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 8th Feb GB 2,000 43% 38% 7% 5% 4% 5%
SavantaComRes N/A 5 - 7 Feb UK TBC 41% 37% 8% 4% 4% 7% 4%
Survation N/A 5 - 6 Feb UK 1,003 39% 33% 9% 5% 7% 6%
Ipsos MORI Archived 2021-02-14 at the Wayback Machine Evening Standard 29 Jan - 4 Feb GB 1,056 42% 38% 7% 5% 8% 4%
YouGov The Times 2 - 3 Feb GB 1,684 41% 37% 6% 5% 6% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 1 Feb GB 2,000 40% 38% 8% 5% 4% 2%
Number Cruncher Politics ITV 25 Jan - 1 Feb UK 2,001 43% 37% 5% 5% 5% 6%
SavantaComRes N/A 29 - 31 Jan UK 2,070 41% 38% 6% 5% 3% 7% 3%
Opinium Archived 2021-02-06 at the Wayback Machine The Observer 28 - 29 Jan UK 2,002 41% 38% 7% 5% 4% 3%
YouGov The Times 26 - 27 Jan GB 1,721 37% 41% 6% 5% 4% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 25 Jan GB 2,000 42% 37% 8% 5% 4% 5%
Kantar Public N/A 21 - 25 Jan GB 1,100 40% 37% 10% 4% 5% 3%
SavantaComRes N/A 22 - 24 Jan UK 2,070 40% 37% 8% 5% 3% 3%
Deltapoll N/A 21 - 23 Jan GB 1,632 41% 39% 7% 4% 3% 2%
YouGov The Times 21 - 22 Jan GB 1,703 39% 38% 5% 5% 6% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 18 Jan GB 2,000 40% 38% 8% 4% 5% 2%
SavantaComRes Archived 2021-01-29 at the Wayback Machine N/A 15 - 17 Jan UK 1,914 39% 37% 7% 5% 3% 2%
Opinium Archived 2021-01-22 at the Wayback Machine The Observer 14 - 15 Jan UK 2,003 37% 41% 6% 6% 4% 4%
YouGov The Times 13 - 14 Jan GB 1,702 38% 39% 5% 5% 6% 1%
Survation N/A 12 - 13 Jan UK 1,033 40% 38% 7% 4% 5% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 11 Jan GB 2,000 41% 37% 8% 5% 5% 4%
SavantaComRes Archived 2021-01-15 at the Wayback Machine N/A 8 - 10 Jan UK 1,550 40% 37% 8% 4% 4% 3%
Opinium The Observer 6 - 7 Jan UK 2,003 39% 40% 6% 5% 4% 1%
Jan 6 The Brexit Party is re-registered as Reform UK[1]
YouGov The Times 4 - 5 Jan GB 1,704 39% 39% 6% 5% 6% Tie

Most of the polling data says it will be a very narrow election. Some polls don't include Northern Ireland because their parties are different to the UK's. Current polling data from the electionpolling.co.uk website says the Conservatives will get a 2 seat majority[2]

Next United Kingdom General Election Media

Notes

  1. Under the Parliamentary Voting System and Constituencies Act 2011 the number of constituencies would have been reduced to 600 following the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies. The Parliamentary Constituencies Act 2020 kept the number of constituencies at 650.

References

  1. "Party registration decisions" (in en-GB). Electoral Commission. 2021-01-06. https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/who-we-are-and-what-we-do/party-registration-applications/party-registration-decisions. Retrieved 2021-01-06. 
  2. "2024 General Election Polls - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Retrieved 2021-02-14.