Next United Kingdom general election
The Next United Kingdom general election must be held no later than Tuesday 28 January 2025, after the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022 repealed the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011.
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All 650 seats[a] in the House of Commons 326 seats needed for a majority | |||||
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Polling data
Pollster | Client | Dates
conducted |
Area | Sample
size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | SNP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opinium | The Observer | 11 - 12 Feb | UK | 2,006 | 42% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% |
5% |
YouGov | The Times | 9-10 Feb | GB | 1,660 | 41% | 36% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7%
Reform UK on 3% |
5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | 8th Feb | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 38% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% |
5% |
SavantaComRes | N/A | 5 - 7 Feb | UK | TBC | 41% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 4% |
Survation | N/A | 5 - 6 Feb | UK | 1,003 | 39% | 33% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% |
6% |
Ipsos MORI Archived 2021-02-14 at the Wayback Machine | Evening Standard | 29 Jan - 4 Feb | GB | 1,056 | 42% | 38% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0% |
4% |
YouGov | The Times | 2 - 3 Feb | GB | 1,684 | 41% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% |
4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | 1 Feb | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% |
2% |
Number Cruncher Politics | ITV | 25 Jan - 1 Feb | UK | 2,001 | 43% | 37% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5%
Reform UK on 3% |
6% |
SavantaComRes | N/A | 29 - 31 Jan | UK | 2,070 | 41% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 3% |
Opinium Archived 2021-02-06 at the Wayback Machine | The Observer | 28 - 29 Jan | UK | 2,002 | 41% | 38% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% |
3% |
YouGov | The Times | 26 - 27 Jan | GB | 1,721 | 37% | 41% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 7%
Plaid Cymru on 1% |
4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | 25 Jan | GB | 2,000 | 42% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 0% |
5% |
Kantar Public | N/A | 21 - 25 Jan | GB | 1,100 | 40% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 3% | |
SavantaComRes | N/A | 22 - 24 Jan | UK | 2,070 | 40% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 0% |
3% |
Deltapoll | N/A | 21 - 23 Jan | GB | 1,632 | 41% | 39% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 6%
Reform UK on 2% |
2% |
YouGov | The Times | 21 - 22 Jan | GB | 1,703 | 39% | 38% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7%
Plaid Cymru on 1% |
1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | 18 Jan | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% |
2% |
SavantaComRes Archived 2021-01-29 at the Wayback Machine | N/A | 15 - 17 Jan | UK | 1,914 | 39% | 37% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 7%
Reform UK on 2% |
2% |
Opinium Archived 2021-01-22 at the Wayback Machine | The Observer | 14 - 15 Jan | UK | 2,003 | 37% | 41% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% |
4% |
YouGov | The Times | 13 - 14 Jan | GB | 1,702 | 38% | 39% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% |
1% |
Survation | N/A | 12 - 13 Jan | UK | 1,033 | 40% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 7%
Brexit Party on 1% |
2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | 11 Jan | GB | 2,000 | 41% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% |
4% |
SavantaComRes Archived 2021-01-15 at the Wayback Machine | N/A | 8 - 10 Jan | UK | 1,550 | 40% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 7%
Reform UK on 2% |
3% |
Opinium | The Observer | 6 - 7 Jan | UK | 2,003 | 39% | 40% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6%
UKIP on 2% |
1% |
Jan 6 | The Brexit Party is re-registered as Reform UK[1] | ||||||||||
YouGov | The Times | 4 - 5 Jan | GB | 1,704 | 39% | 39% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6%
Brexit Party on 3% |
Tie |
Most of the polling data says it will be a very narrow election. Some polls don't include Northern Ireland because their parties are different to the UK's. Current polling data from the electionpolling.co.uk website says the Conservatives will get a 2 seat majority[2]
Next United Kingdom General Election Media
Notes
- ↑ Under the Parliamentary Voting System and Constituencies Act 2011 the number of constituencies would have been reduced to 600 following the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies. The Parliamentary Constituencies Act 2020 kept the number of constituencies at 650.
References
- ↑ "Party registration decisions" (in en-GB). Electoral Commission. 2021-01-06. https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/who-we-are-and-what-we-do/party-registration-applications/party-registration-decisions. Retrieved 2021-01-06.
- ↑ "2024 General Election Polls - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Retrieved 2021-02-14.